Analysis of the development trend and influencing factors of agricultural productive services industry under the background of rural revitalization strategy: Taking Xinjiang as an example

doi:10.13733/j.jcam.issn.2095-5553.2023.01.030

Abstract

摘要： 农业生产性服务业可改造传统农业，对农业生产性服务业发展态势研究可为提高新疆地区农业生产提供理论支持。基于2005—2020年新疆地级数据，运用核密度估计和锡尔指数对农业生产性服务业区域差异进行测度，控制异方差、同期相关的PCSE估计农业生产性服务业发展的影响因素。结果发现：新疆农业生产性服务业核函数曲线从“多峰”向“双峰”转变，总体发展水平呈上升态。区域内差异是产生总体差异的主要原因。农业生产性服务业发展主要受经济发展因素、农作物播种面积、农业从业人员、交通运输能力、城镇化因素、政府支持因素和科技投入因素影响。因此新疆各区域要因地制宜，充分利用其资源优势规避不利因素，发展农业生产性服务业。

关键词: 新疆地区, 农业生产性服务业, 锡尔指数, 核密度估计, 区域差异

CLC Number:

F326.6

Ma Fei, Yu Guoxin.. Analysis of the development trend and influencing factors of agricultural productive services industry under the background of rural revitalization strategy: Taking Xinjiang as an example[J]. Journal of Chinese Agricultural Mechanization, 2023, 44(1): 216-225.

马菲, 余国新. 乡村振兴背景下农业生产性服务业发展态势及影响因素研究——以新疆为例[J]. 中国农机化学报, 2023, 44(1): 216-225.

References

［1］　
姜长云. 关于发展农业生产性服务业的思考［J］. 农业经济问题, 2016, 37(5): 8-15.

［2］　
马晨, 李瑾. “互联网＋”时代我国现代农业服务业的新内涵、新特征及动力机制研究［J］. 科技管理研究, 2018, 38(2): 196-202.
Ma Cheng, Li Jin. Study on the new connotation, new characteristics and dynamic mechanism of modern agricultural service industry in the “Internet Plus” Era ［J］. Science and Technology Management Research, 2018, 38(2): 196-202.

［3］　
芦千文, 高鸣. 中国农业生产性服务业支持政策的演变轨迹、框架与调整思路［J］. 南京农业大学学报(社会科学版), 2020, 20(5): 142-155.
Lu Qianwen, Gao Ming. Policy track, framework and improvement direction of agricultural productive service industry in China ［J］. Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University (Social Sciences Edition), 2020, 20(5): 142-155.

［4］　
Goe W R. Factors associated with the development of nonmetropolitan growth nodes in producer services industries, 1980—1990 ［J］. Rural Sociology, 2002, 67(3): 416-441.

［5］　
Davis K, Heemskerk W. Investment in extension and advisory services as part of agricultural innovation systems overview ［M］. 2012.

［6］　
冀名峰. 农业生产性服务业: 我国农业现代化历史上的第三次动能［J］. 农业经济问题, 2018(3): 9-15.
〖JP3〗Ji Mingfeng. Agricultural productive service industry: The third momentum in Chinese agricultural modernization history ［J］. Issues in Agricultural Economy, 2018(3): 9-15.

［7］　
彭柳林, 吴昌南, 张云, 等. 粮食生产效率:农业生产性服务对农业劳动力老龄化具有调节效应吗?——基于江西省粮食主产县500农户的调查［J］. 中国农业资源与区划, 2018, 39(4): 7-13.
Peng Liulin, Wu Changnan, Zhang Yun, et al. Food production efficiency: Does agricultural productive service have regulation effect to aging agricultural labor force?—Based on the investigation of 500 farmers in Jiangxi Province ［J］. Chinese Journal of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, 2018, 39(4): 7-13.

［8］　
肖莉梅. 农业生产性服务业发展的国际经验与启示［J］. 山西农业大学学报(社会科学版), 2020, 19(6): 47-54.
Xiao Limei. International experience and enlightenment on the development of agricultural productive services ［J］. Journal of Shanxi Agricultural University (Social Science Edition), 2020, 19(6): 47-54.

［9］　
关凤利, 裴瑱. 我国农业生产性服务业的发展对策［J］. 经济纵横, 2010(4): 76-78, 66.

［10］　
金晓雨. 中国生产性服务业发展与城市生产率研究［J］. 产业经济研究, 2015(6): 32-41.
Jin Xiaoyu. Study on development of producer services and urban productivity in China ［J］. Industrial Economics Research, 2015(6): 32-41.

［11］　
郝爱民. 提升农业生产性服务业外溢效应的路径选择［J］. 农业现代化研究, 2015(4): 580-584.

［12］　
蒋团标, 罗琳. 农业生产性服务业对城乡收入差距的影响及路径研究——基于珠江—西江经济带的中介效应检验［J］. 中国农业资源与区划, 2022, 43(3): 81-89.
Jiang Tuanbiao, Luo Lin. Research on the influence and path of agricultural productive service industry on the income gap between urban and rural areas——Based on the mesomeric effect of the Pearl RiverWest River economic belt ［J］. Chinese Journal of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, 2022, 43(3): 81-89.

［13］　
张恒, 郭翔宇. 农业生产性服务业发展与农业全要素生产率提升: 地区差异性与空间效应［J］. 农业技术经济, 2021(5): 93-107.
Zhang Heng, Guo Xiangyu. The promotion effect of agricultural producer services on agricultural total factor productivity: Regional differences and spatial effect ［J］. Journal of Agrotechnical Economics, 2021(5): 93-107.

［14］　
秦天, 彭珏, 邓宗兵. 生产性服务业发展与农业全要素生产率增长［J］. 现代经济探讨, 2017(12): 93-101.

［15］　
亚当·斯密. 国富论［M］. 南京: 译林出版社, 2011.

［16］　
Alesina A, Rodrik D. Distributive politics and economic growth ［J］. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1994, 109(2): 465-490.

［17］　
陈昭玖, 胡雯. 农地确权、交易装置与农户生产环节外包——基于“斯密—杨格”定理的分工演化逻辑［J］. 农业经济问题, 2016, 37(8): 16-24, 110.
Chen Zhaojiu, Hu Wen. Confirmation of rural land, transaction configuration and the production outsourcing: Based on the “smithYoung” theorem logical evolution of division of labor ［J］. Issues in Agricultural Economy, 2016, 37(8): 16-24, 110.

［18］　
黄修杰, 蔡勋, 储霞玲, 等. 我国农业高质量发展评价指标体系构建与评估［J］. 中国农业资源与区划, 2020, 41(4): 124-133.
Huang Xiujie, Cai Xun, Chu Xialin, et al. Index construction and evaluation of highquality development of agriculture in China ［J］. Chinese Journal of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, 2020, 41(4): 124-133.

［19］　
郝爱民. 城镇化与农业生产性服务业的门槛效应［J］. 华南农业大学学报(社会科学版), 2018, 17(1): 19-26.
Hao Aimin. Threshold effects of agricultural production services for Chinas urbanization ［J］. Journal of South China Agricultural University (Social Science Edition), 2018, 17(1): 19-26.

［20］　
秦天, 彭珏, 邓宗兵. 中国区域农业生产性服务业发展差异及驱动因素研究［J］. 产业经济评论, 2018(6): 63-75.

［21］　
吕芙蓉. 以信息化工程为契机发展农业生产性服务业［J］. 宏观经济管理, 2015(5): 49-52.

［22］　
高健, 葛子豪. 江苏省农业绿色发展水平区域差异及趋势分析［J］. 中国农业资源与区划, 2020, 41(12): 14-22.
Gao Jian, Ge Zihao. Regional difference and trend analysis of agricultural green development level in Jiangsu Province ［J］. Chinese Journal of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, 2020, 41(12): 14-22.

［23］　
胡晨沛, 李辉尚, 曲春红. 基于时空异质弹性生产函数的地区农业全要素生产率变迁特征研究［J］. 农业技术经济, 2021(7): 103-114.
Hu Chengpei, Li Huishang, Qu Chunhong. Study on the change characteristics of regional agricultural total factor productivity based on spatiotemporal heteroelastic production function ［J］. Journal of Agrotechnical Economics, 2021(7): 103-114.

［24］　
刘锴, 李丹利, 刘桂春, 等. 中国沿海地区生产性服务业发展态势及驱动因素分析［J］. 地理科学, 2018, 38(9): 1543-1550.
Liu Kai, Li Danli, Liu Guixiang, Zhang Yaoguang. The development situation of producer service industry and its driving factors in the coastal areas of China ［J］. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2018, 38(9): 1543-1550.

［25］　
魏修建, 李思霖. 我国生产性服务业与农业生产效率提升的关系研究——基于DEA和面板数据的实证分析［J］. 经济经纬, 2015(3): 23-27.

［26］　
〖JP3〗杨振, 雷军, 英成龙, 等. 新疆县域城镇化的综合测度及空间分异格局分析［J］. 干旱区地理, 2017, 40(1): 230-237.
Yang Zhen, Lei Jun, Ying Chenglong, et al. Comprehensive measurement and spatial differentiation pattern analysis of the county urbanization in Xinjiang ［J］. Arid Land Geography, 2017, 40(1): 230-237.

［27］　
欧阳金琼, 周传荣, 李文耀. 新疆南疆地区城镇化、产业升级与人口集聚——基于县域统计资料与SDEM模型［J］. 西北人口, 2021, 42(3): 117-126.
Ouyang Jinqiong, Zhou Chuanrong, Li Wenyao. Industrial upgrading, urbanization and population agglomeration in South Xinjiang: Based on county statistics and SDEM models ［J］. Northwest Population Journal, 2021, 42(3): 117-126.

［28］　
张荐华, 高军. 发展农业生产性服务业会缩小城乡居民收入差距吗?——基于空间溢出和门槛特征的实证检验［J］. 西部论坛, 2019, 29(1): 45-54.
Zhang Jianhua, Gao Jun. Can agricultural productive service industry development narrow the urbanrural income gap: An empirical analysis based on spatial spillover and threshold characteristics ［J］. Journal of Chongqing Technology and Business University (West Forum), 2019, 29(1): 45-54.

［29］　
李颖慧, 李敬. 改进交易效率的农业生产性服务业发展机理与实证研究［J］. 技术经济, 2020, 39(1): 89-98.
Li Yinghui, Li Jing. Anempirical study on the development mechanism of agricultural producer services to improve transaction efficiency ［J］. Technology Economics, 2020, 39(1): 89-98.

[1]	Dai Hao, Wei Junying, Liu Zichen. Impact of nonagricultural employment and agricultural machinery service outsourcing on grain output [J]. Journal of Chinese Agricultural Mechanization, 2023, 44(6): 244-250.
[2]	Zhu Yu, Shi Xundong, Yang Yang, Xu Jing, , Yao Guanxin, , . Analysis on influencing factors of collaborative development of lowcarbon cold chain logistics of fresh agricultural products in Jiangsu Province: Based on interpretive structural model method [J]. Journal of Chinese Agricultural Mechanization, 2023, 44(4): 216-221.
[3]	Li Ping, Wu Haijun. . Spatiotemporal differentiation of agricultural machinery socialization service efficiency: Evidence from provinces in China [J]. Journal of Chinese Agricultural Mechanization, 2022, 43(9): 210-218.
[4]	Liu Yang, Chen Bingpu, He Lanlan. . Evolution, research status and prospect of agricultural socialized service in China [J]. Journal of Chinese Agricultural Mechanization, 2022, 43(4): 229-236.
[5]	. [J]. Journal of Chinese Agricultural Mechanization, 2021, 42(5): 182-190.
[6]	. [J]. Journal of Chinese Agricultural Mechanization, 2020, 41(4): 207-214.