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中国农机化学报

中国农机化学报 ›› 2025, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (6): 271-279.DOI: 10.13733/j.jcam.issn.2095-5553.2025.06.039

• 农业机械化综合研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

农业机械化与农民收入——以经营规模与劳动力转移为调节变量

刘桂英1,谢文军1,陈跃灵1,杨梦琦1,张梦梅1,周利平2   

  1. (1. 江西农业大学经济管理学院,南昌市,330045; 2. 江西农业大学人文与公共管理学院,南昌市,330045)
  • 出版日期:2025-06-15 发布日期:2025-05-23
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(71864017, 42467067)

Agricultural mechanization on farmers' income: Using business scale and labor transfer as moderating variables

Liu Guiying1, Xie Wenjun1, Chen Yueling1, Yang Mengqi1, Zhang Mengmei1, Zhou Liping2   

  1. (1. School of Economics and Management, Jiangxi Agricultural University, Nanchang, 330045, China; 
    2. College of Humanities and Public Administration, Jiangxi Agricultural University, Nanchang, 330045, China)

  • Online:2025-06-15 Published:2025-05-23

摘要:

厘清农业机械化对农民收入的影响机理,对实现共同富裕和乡村振兴具有重大的理论与现实意义。利用2003—2020年中国30个省(自治区、直辖市)的统计数据,构建加入工具变量的两阶段最小二乘模型(IV—2SLS),深入探究农业机械化对我国农民收入的影响机理。研究发现:农业机械化对农民收入产生显著的影响,两者呈倒“U”型关系,即农民收入先随着农业机械化水平的提高发生增长,后随着农户对农机需求趋于饱和发生下降。经营规模与劳动力转移在农业机械化对农民收入的影响中都产生增强性的调节作用。异质性分析发现,粮食主产区农业机械化对农民收入产生显著影响,非粮食主产区影响不显著。提出有关部门应积极优化城乡就业环境,促进农村剩余劳动力非农就业,推进农业适度规模化经营,提高农业机械化水平,实现农民增收,最终实现共同富裕;同时对不同农业生产条件的粮食生产功能区,因地制宜地制定农业机械化发展政策。

关键词: 农业机械化, 农民收入, 经营规模, 劳动力转移, 调节效应

Abstract:

 Understanding the mechanism through which agricultural mechanization impacts farmers' income holds significant theoretical and practical implications for advancing common prosperity and rural revitalization. This study employed statistical data from 30 provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities in China from 2003 to 2020, utilizing a two‑stage least squares (IV—2SLS) model with instrumental variables to examine this relationship. The findings revealed that agricultural mechanization has a significant influence on farmers' income, exhibiting an inverted “U‑shaped” relationship. To this regard, farmers' income initially increased as the agricultural mechanization level improved, but declined once demand for agricultural machinery approached saturation. The scale of operation and labor transfer further amplified the regulatory effects of agricultural mechanization on farmers' income. Heterogeneity analysis indicated that the impact of agricultural mechanization on farmers' income was pronounced in major grain‑producing regions but negligible in non‑major grain‑producing areas. Based on these findings, the study recommends that policymakers actively optimize urban and rural employment conditions to encourage non‑agricultural employment of surplus rural labor, promote moderate‑scale agricultural operations, and improve the level of agricultural mechanization to sustainably increase income for farmers. Concurrently, tailored agricultural mechanization development policies should be formulated to address the specific production conditions of different grain production functional areas.

Key words: agricultural mechanization, farmers' income, management scale, labor force transfer, adjustment effect

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