Abstract: In order to clarify the factors that restrict the development of economic forests mechanization in Xinjiang, and improve the level of its development, based on building the index system of restricting factors of mechanized development of economic forest in Xinjiang, a decisionmaking trial and evaluation laboratory method is used. Experts are invited to evaluate the relationship among the factors. The results show that the centrality values of each indicator varies, six indicators cause values are less than 0 and the rest are greater than 0. There are five aspects (eleven indicators) restricting the mechanized development of economic forest in Xinjiang. They can be listed as follows: the problem of insufficient mechanical attention, including three indicators as unstable grassroots agricultural machinery team personnel, lack of training for grassroots agricultural machinery team, and lack of understanding of the importance of agricultural machinery. The problem of lagging research and development of machinery, including two indicators as insufficient attention on agricultural research and development of machinery and the low efficiency in use existing machinery. The problem of backward of mechanized technology in planting, including one indicator as lagging development of mechanized technology. The problem of the low level of subsidy on agricultural machinery: including two indicators as the insufficient subsidy on the purchase of agricultural machinery and insufficient subsidy for mechanized operation. The problem of the slow development of socialized service organizations, including three indicators as the less number of socialized service organizations, imperfect operation mechanism, dispersed equity shares and members. Based on this, suggestions promoting the development of economic forest mechanization in Xinjiang are put forward from five aspects, such as, raising awareness, strengthening equipment research, introducing advanced technology, supporting the construction of socialized service organizations and adjusting the subsidy standard.

Key words: Xinjiang, economic forest, construction of index system, decisionmaking trial and evaluation laboratory method

摘要： 为明晰制约新疆经济林机械化发展的因素，针对性地提高其发展水平，在构建新疆经济林机械化发展制约因素指标体系的基础上，运用决策试验和评价实验室方法，邀请专家评估因素之间的关系。结果表明，各个指标中心度数值各不相同，原因度数值小于0的有6个，其余的大于0。由此得出制约新疆经济林机械化发展的因素主要有五个方面11个指标，分别是机械重视不足问题：包括基层农机队伍人员不稳定问题、基层农机队伍培训不足问题以及农机重要性认识不足问题三个指标，机械研发滞后问题：包括对农机研发重视不足、现有机械使用效率偏低两个指标；种植机械化技术落后问题：包括机械化技术发展滞后一个指标；农机补贴较少：包括农机购置补贴不足、机械化作业补贴不足两个指标；社会化服务组织发展缓慢：包括社会化服务组织数量少、运行机制不完善以及入股和发展成员分散三个指标。基于此，从提高认识，加强装备研究，引进先进技术，扶持社会化服务组织建设以及调整补贴标准五个方面提出促进新疆经济林机械化发展的建议。

关键词: 新疆, 经济林, 指标体系构建, 决策试验和评价实验室方法