农户“粮改饲”参与行为与意愿悖离研究——基于甘肃354位农户的微观数据

doi:10.13733/j.jcam.issn.20955553.2022.02.030

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 饲草料供给作为种养殖业的纽带与桥梁，对种植业结构调整与畜牧业持续高质量发展影响举足轻重。受多种因素制约，实施“粮改饲”过程中存在着众多导致农户参与行为与意愿不一致的现实因素。基于甘肃三县（区）共354位农户的实地调研数据，采用二元Logistic对农户参与“粮改饲”过程中意愿行为悖离现象进行探析。结果发现：（1）农户认知层面，悖离的发生受农户对经济价值和社会效益认知的负向影响显著；（2）外部环境层面，优化政策补贴和加强技术指导培训对农户行为意愿发生悖离有比较显著的牵制作用，农业基础设施建设越完善，对该现象发生的抑制作用越明显；（3）农户个体特征中，性别、年龄是导致悖离的显著因素；生产经营特征中，农户是否参加农业组织与对其行为与意愿悖离产生显著的弱化，而非农收入越高的农户意愿转换为行为较难。政策实施者应结合农户特征，从提高农户认知、改善政策外部环境着手，缓解农户“粮改饲”参与意愿行为悖离现象。

关键词: “粮改饲”政策, 农户, 行为与意愿悖离, Logistic模型

Abstract: As the link and bridge of the planting and breeding industry, forage feed supply plays an important role in the structural adjustment of the planting industry and the sustainable and higher quality development of animal husbandry. Restricted by many factors, there are many realistic factors that lead to the inconsistency of farmers participation behavior and intention in the process of implementing “Foodfodder Change”. Based on the survey data of 354 farmers in three counties (districts) of Gansu Province, a Binary Logistic model was used to study and analyze the phenomenon of deviation between the behavior and willingness of farmers in the process of “Foodfodder Change”. The results showed that first, at the cognitive level, the occurrence of contradictions was significantly affected by the negative effects of farmers cognition of economic value and social benefit. Secondly, from the perspective of the external environment, policy subsidies and technical guidance and training have a significant restraining effect on farmersbehavioral and willingness deviation. The more perfect agricultural infrastructure construction is, the more obvious the restraining effect on this phenomenon will be. Finally, among the individual characteristics of peasant households, gender and age are the significant factors leading to contradictions. In the characteristics of production and management, the participation of farmers in agricultural organizations and the contradiction between their will weakened significantly. The higher the nonagricultural income of farmers is, the more difficult to convert their will into behavior. Policy implementers should take into account the characteristics of farmers, improve the cognition of farmers and the external environment of policy implementation, and alleviate the differences in farmers willingness to participate in the “Foodfodder Change” initiative.

Key words: “Foodfodder Change” policy, farmers, behaviors and willingness deviation, Logistic

中图分类号:

F327

王霞, 吕剑平, 兰娜. 农户“粮改饲”参与行为与意愿悖离研究——基于甘肃354位农户的微观数据[J]. 中国农机化学报, 2022, 43(2): 221-236.

Wang Xia, Lü Jianping, Lan Na.. Study of farmers participation behaviors and willingness deviation in “Foodfodder Change” replacement： Based on microdata from 354 farmers in Gansu Province[J]. Journal of Chinese Agricultural Mechanization, 2022, 43(2): 221-236.

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