Abstract:  Under the background of global trade liberalization, it is of great significance to explore its impact on Chinas agricultural exports from the perspective of trade facilitation to enhance Chinas agricultural export competitiveness. This study selected the panel data of agricultural products exports between China and 10 ASEAN countries from 2010 to 2019 and established four primary indicators such as infrastructure, customs environment, regulatory environment, and ecommerce, as well as aviation infrastructure, customs procedures, and 17 secondary indicators such as policy transparency are used to construct the evaluation index system of trade facilitation. The article used the extended gravity model to analyze the primary influencing factors of trade facilitation empirically. The results showed obvious differences in trade facilitation among ASEAN countries, and there was still much room for improvement. The infrastructure efficiency, customs environment, and regulatory environment in the primary indicators of trade facilitation in ASEAN had a significant positive effect on agricultural exports. In contrast, ecommerce had no significant impact on Chinas agricultural exports. Based on the empirical results, the study proposed that ASEAN trading countries should strengthen infrastructure construction, optimize the construction of customs and institutional environment, and improve domestic Internet technology and penetration rate from the perspective of development indicators of trade facilitation to promote the improvement of their trade facilitation level. At the same time, it also put forward from the perspective of China that different development countermeasures should be taken for countries with different development levels of ASEAN trade facilitation in order to promote Chinas agricultural exports.

Key words: the belt and road, trade facilitation level, China, ASEAN, agricultural products, gravity model

摘要： 在全球贸易自由化背景下，从贸易便利化角度探讨其对中国农产品出口的影响对于提升中国农产品出口竞争力有重要意义。研究选取2010—2019年中国与东盟10国农产品出口的面板数据，以基础设施、海关环境、规制环境以及电子商务4个一级指标以及航空基础设施、海关手续、政策透明度等17个二级指标构建贸易便利化评价指标体系并采用扩展的引力模型对贸易便利化的一级影响因素进行实证分析。结果表明：东盟各国的贸易便利化水平差异明显且仍有较大的提升空间。东盟的贸易便利化一级指标中的基础设施效率、海关环境、规制环境均对农产品出口有显著正效应，而电子商务则对中国农产品出口影响不显著。基于实证结果，研究从贸易便利化的发展指标角度提出东盟贸易国应加强基础设施建设，优化海关和制度环境建设并完善国内互联网技术和普及率以促进其贸易便利化水平的提升，同时也从中国角度提出应针对东盟贸易便利化发展水平不同的国家采取不同的发展对策以推动中国农产品出口。

关键词: “一带一路”, 贸易便利化水平, 中国, 东盟, 农产品, 引力模型