关键词: 数字普惠金融, 农业高质量, 耦合, 面板向量自回归模型, 格兰杰因果检验, 脉冲分析

Abstract: Exploring the relationship between digital inclusive finance and highquality agricultural development is conducive to accurately grasping the interaction between the two systems, and also provides theoretical basis and decisionmaking reference for promoting highquality agricultural development. Based on the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2011 to 2019, the coupling coordination degree between digital financial inclusion and highquality agricultural development is calculated, and the panel vector autoregression model is used to study the interaction between the two systems. The research results show that the average change range of the national agricultural highquality development level is 0.188-0252, and the overall level is relatively low. The average growth rate in the east is the fastest, with a growth rate of 38%, and the growth rates in the central and western regions are 26% and 35%, respectively. The difference is obvious. The degree of coupling coordination between the development of digital inclusive finance and highquality agricultural development has increased from 0.288 to 0.530. The average degree of coupling coordination in the eastern provinces and cities is in the range of 0.440-0.595, and the average in the western region is in the range of 0.374-0.432, showing an unbalanced state of "high in the east and low in the west" in spatial pattern distribution. The average value of the degree of coupling and coordination between the degree of digitization and the highquality development of agriculture has increased from 0.297 to 0.557. The overall main driving force of coupling and coordination comes from the improvement of the digitization degree. The breadth of coverage and the depth of use develops relatively slowly, which limits the improvement of coupling coordination level of digital inclusive finance and highquality development of agriculture to a certain extent. Digital inclusive finance and highquality agricultural development can promote each other, among which digital inclusive finance has a relatively stronger role in promoting highquality agricultural development.

Key words: digital inclusive finance, high quality in agriculture, coupling, panel vector autoregressive model, Granger causal test, pulse analysis