农户分化对农业生产托管的影响

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 发展农业生产托管是农业应对“刘易斯拐点”和人口红利消失的必然选择。基于江汉平原稻农的调研数据，使用Probit模型、CMP模型等方法分析农户分化对农业生产托管的影响，进一步探讨农户分化对不同托管环节以及不同农户的异质性影响。研究表明：农户分化催生了农业生产托管；农户分化对整地和收割环节等劳动密集型生产环节托管的作用显著，对育秧移栽和施肥与病虫害防治等技术密集型生产环节托管的作用不显著；农户分化对促进女性参与农业生产托管显著，对男性不显著；农户分化对高龄和低龄农户参与农业生产托管均显著，且通过1%的显著性检验，但对低龄农户的影响更大。据此，应进一步促进农业生产托管的发展与完善以应对农户分化；秉持“补弱扶强”原则，对于不同类型的生产环节托管的补贴激励政策有所侧重；提升农户生产托管意愿，以促进农业生产托管的发展与完善。

关键词: 农户分化, 农业生产托管, 诱致性技术变迁, 劳动力短缺, 农户行为

Abstract: Developing agricultural production trusteeship is an inevitable choice for agriculture to cope with the "Lewis inflection point" and the disappearance of demographic dividend. Based on the survey data of rice farmers in Jianghan Plain, the probit model, CMP model and other methods are used to analyze the impact of farmers' differentiation on agricultural production trusteeship, and further explore the heterogeneous impact of farmers’ differentiation on different trusteeship links and different farmers. The results showed that the differentiation of farmers promoted the agricultural production trusteeship, and the differentiation of farmers played a significant role in the trusteeship of labor-intensive production links such as land preparation and harvesting, while it did not play a significant role in the trusteeship of technology intensive production links such as seedling raising, transplanting, fertilization, and pest control. The differentiation of farmers has a significant impact on promoting women’s participation in agricultural production and trusteeship, but not on men. The differentiation of farmers has a significant impact on the participation of both older and younger farmers in agricultural production trusteeship, and has passed the 1% significance test. However, it has a greater impact on younger farmers. Propose to further promote the development and improvement of agricultural productio trusteeship to address the differentiation of farmers. Adhering to the principle of "supplementing the weak and supporting the strong", there is a particular emphasis on subsidy and incentive policies for different types of production processes; Enhance farmers’ willingness to engage in production trusteeship to promote the development and completion of agricultural production trusteeship.

Key words: farm household fragmentation, agricultural production trusteeship, induced technological change, labor shortage, farm household behavior

中图分类号:

F323

戴浩, 魏君英, 贾伊龙, 何蒲明. 农户分化对农业生产托管的影响[J]. 中国农机化学报.

Dai Hao, Wei Junying, Jia Yilong, He Puming. Impact of farm household fragmentation on agricultural production trusteeship[J]. Journal of Chinese Agricultural Mechanization.

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